Mercer
Southern · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 47% of the time
Power
#20
+9.8 pts · likely #9–48
Strength of schedule
26.4
#86 of 128
Strength of victory
20.6
#58
Record SOS
0.482
Opp. 46.5% · Opp. opp. 51.5%
Remaining SOS
66.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Alabama | W 17-7 | −1.8 | 0.0 | 0.232 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 48-22 | −10.9 | −2.4 | 0.065 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 4 | at Furman | L 14-38 | +9.8 | +2.4 | 0.587 | 1 | −10.1 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-3 | −6.3 | −2.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.385
- Wk 14: at South Dakota State · p 0.949
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Ole MissFBS · L 7-73