Merrimack
NEC · 4-4 vs FCS · 5-5 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#65
−0.3 pts · likely #42–88
Strength of schedule
19.8
#116 of 128
Strength of victory
11.8
#87
Record SOS
0.402
Opp. 37.2% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
19.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Holy Cross | L 20-42 | +13.9 | +2.7 | 0.697 | 1 | −6.4 |
| 2 | vs (N) Lehigh | L 12-14 | −8.1 | 0.0 | 0.123 | 3 | −9.3 |
| 4 | at Wagner | L 27-30 | −18.1 | +2.7 | 0.049 | 4 | −16.7 |
| 5 | at Sacred Heart | W 17-7 | −12.0 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Duquesne · p 0.190
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-0
- Wk 10: at MassachusettsFBS · L 21-31