Duquesne
NEC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#54
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#67
−1.1 pts · likely #45–94
Strength of schedule
20.5
#112 of 128
Strength of victory
11.6
#88
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 45.5% · Opp. opp. 43.1%
Remaining SOS
46.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Duquesne. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | at Long Island | W 31-28 | −7.2 | +2.7 | 0.179 | 3 | −0.5 |
| 6 | at Delaware | L 17-43 | +18.9 | +2.7 | 0.803 | 1 | −4.1 |
| 7 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 44-20 | −11.0 | −2.7 | 0.062 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 8 | vs Saint Francis | W 38-35 | −3.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Merrimack · p 0.301
- Wk 13: at Youngstown State · p 0.634
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs EdinboroDII · W 49-7
- Wk 2: at West VirginiaFBS · L 17-56
- Wk 3: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 7-66