Tennessee State
OVC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#46
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#71
−1.8 pts · likely #50–95
Strength of schedule
21.8
#107 of 128
Strength of victory
16.5
#67
Record SOS
0.435
Opp. 37.8% · Opp. opp. 54.9%
Remaining SOS
23.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs (N) Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 24-14 | −22.6 | 0.0 | 0.016 | 4 | −11.0 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 27-25 | +3.8 | −2.6 | 0.300 | 2 | +2.5 |
| 5 | at UT Martin | L 10-20 | +8.3 | +2.6 | 0.552 | 1 | −0.3 |
| 6 | at Kennesaw State | W 27-20 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.349
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.123
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Notre DameFBS · L 3-56
- Wk 8: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 54-0