Howard
MEAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#82
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#81
−3.6 pts · likely #57–101
Strength of schedule
21.0
#112 of 128
Strength of victory
11.2
#84
Record SOS
0.429
Opp. 40.4% · Opp. opp. 48.0%
Remaining SOS
42.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Howard. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Hampton | L 34-35 | −4.3 | 0.0 | 0.183 | 3 | −5.4 |
| 5 | at Robert Morris | W 35-10 | −9.6 | +2.6 | 0.138 | 3 | +15.0 |
| 7 | at Harvard | L 7-48 | +10.4 | +2.6 | 0.607 | 1 | −20.6 |
| 8 | vs Norfolk State | W 27-23 | −4.0 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.517
- Wk 12: vs Morgan State · p 0.166
- Wk 16: vs (N) Florida A&M · p 0.589
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Eastern MichiganFBS · L 23-33
- Wk 2: vs Morehouse CollegeDII · W 65-19
- Wk 6: at NorthwesternFBS · L 20-23