Alabama State
SWAC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 68% of the time
Power
#53
+3.0 pts · likely #29–75
Strength of schedule
29.4
#78 of 128
Strength of victory
24.4
#49
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 60.9% · Opp. opp. 45.2%
Remaining SOS
11.5
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern | W 14-10 | −1.2 | −2.6 | 0.194 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 4 | at Florida A&M | L 10-23 | +12.2 | +2.6 | 0.652 | 1 | +1.6 |
| 5 | vs Alcorn State | L 20-23 OT | −1.6 | −2.6 | 0.185 | 3 | −5.0 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 19-14 | −7.4 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.081
- Wk 12: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.149
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Miles CollegeDII · L 17-21