Murray State
MVFC · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#93
−6.2 pts · likely #46–117
Strength of schedule
1.3
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
1.3
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
43.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 41-10 | −21.1 | −2.8 | 0.013 | 4 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Indiana State · p 0.052
- Wk 6: at South Dakota · p 0.303
- Wk 7: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.489
- Wk 8: at Missouri State · p 0.421
- Wk 9: at North Dakota State · p 0.755
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.476
- Wk 11: at Illinois State · p 0.555
- Wk 12: vs Youngstown State · p 0.459