Montana State
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#3
+18.4 pts · likely #2–31
Strength of schedule
16.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
16.0
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
42.9
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 63-20 | −2.9 | −2.8 | 0.160 | 3 | +25.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 2: at South Dakota State · p 0.813
- Wk 3: vs Stetson · p 0.083
- Wk 4: at Weber State · p 0.652
- Wk 5: vs Portland State · p 0.100
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.147
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.675
- Wk 9: at Idaho · p 0.678
- Wk 10: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.200
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.127
- Wk 12: at Montana · p 0.616
- Wk 14: vs North Dakota State · p 0.623