Dayton
Pioneer · 0-1 vs FCS · 0-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#116
−11.3 pts · likely #71–123
Strength of schedule
38.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
13.9
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Illinois State | L 0-41 | +1.9 | +2.8 | 0.385 | 2 | −24.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at San Diego · p 0.173
- Wk 5: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.278
- Wk 6: at Morehead State · p 0.092
- Wk 7: vs Presbyterian · p 0.006
- Wk 8: vs Butler · p 0.189
- Wk 10: at Valparaiso · p 0.109
- Wk 11: vs Marist · p 0.017
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.245