Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-0 vs FCS · 1-0 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#81
−3.7 pts · likely #40–112
Strength of schedule
16.6
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
16.6
1 wins
Record SOS
—
Remaining SOS
46.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (1)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs San Diego | W 27-10 | −2.5 | −2.8 | 0.166 | 3 | +6.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 4: at Portland State · p 0.183
- Wk 5: vs UC Davis · p 0.703
- Wk 6: vs Idaho · p 0.535
- Wk 7: at Montana State · p 0.796
- Wk 8: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.074
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.222
- Wk 11: at Sacramento State · p 0.675
- Wk 12: vs Weber State · p 0.507