Central Arkansas
ASUN · 5-5 vs FCS · 5-6 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#35
+5.4 pts · likely #20–60
Strength of schedule
34.0
#49 of 130
Strength of victory
28.9
#26
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 53.7% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | L 14-27 | +1.9 | −2.1 | 0.267 | 2 | −12.6 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 31-16 | −11.5 | +2.1 | 0.106 | 3 | +5.7 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 27-35 | +12.9 | +2.1 | 0.657 | 1 | +6.0 |
| 5 | vs Austin Peay | W 49-20 | +9.1 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ole MissFBS · L 3-59