Wagner
NEC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-7 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#125
−12.7 pts · likely #98–128
Strength of schedule
30.2
#69 of 130
Strength of victory
13.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 41.7%
Remaining SOS
22.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Fordham | L 31-48 | +7.7 | −1.7 | 0.420 | 2 | −11.4 |
| 3 | vs Saint Francis | L 7-27 | +10.5 | −1.7 | 0.494 | 2 | −11.1 |
| 6 | at Columbia | L 7-28 | +0.9 | +1.7 | 0.333 | 2 | −18.7 |
| 7 | at Merrimack | L 17-54 | +1.3 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Stonehill · p 0.262
- Wk 11: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.158
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.260
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at RutgersFBS · L 7-66
- Wk 5: at SyracuseFBS · L 0-59