San Diego
Pioneer · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#84
−3.8 pts · likely #55–109
Strength of schedule
21.8
#120 of 130
Strength of victory
4.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.345
Opp. 29.6% · Opp. opp. 44.3%
Remaining SOS
22.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Cal Poly | L 27-28 | −10.2 | +1.7 | 0.117 | 3 | −9.0 |
| 3 | at UC Davis | L 13-43 | +12.0 | +1.7 | 0.628 | 1 | −15.2 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | L 21-28 | −5.8 | +1.7 | 0.188 | 3 | −9.4 |
| 6 | at Drake | W 22-10 | −13.2 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Butler · p 0.257
- Wk 11: vs Davidson · p 0.333
- Wk 12: at Morehead State · p 0.082
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs La VerneDIII · W 58-0