North Carolina A&T
Big South · 4-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#58
+1.5 pts · likely #30–88
Strength of schedule
30.2
#68 of 130
Strength of victory
21.1
#48
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 46.7% · Opp. opp. 50.7%
Remaining SOS
18.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 13-28 | +4.7 | 0.0 | 0.385 | 2 | −9.7 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-43 | +10.3 | +1.7 | 0.583 | 1 | −21.3 |
| 4 | vs South Carolina State | W 41-27 | −2.0 | −1.7 | 0.194 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 5 | vs Bryant | W 24-13 | −4.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.052
- Wk 11: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.122
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.381
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at DukeFBS · L 20-49
- Wk 7: vs Edward WatersDII · W 45-7