Murray State
OVC · 1-6 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#105
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−11.6 pts · likely #94–127
Strength of schedule
37.3
#20 of 130
Strength of victory
37.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.575
Opp. 64.1% · Opp. opp. 44.3%
Remaining SOS
30.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | L 3-34 | +11.1 | −1.7 | 0.512 | 1 | −21.8 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 21-35 | −8.2 | −1.7 | 0.100 | 4 | −22.2 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 14-48 | +10.3 | +1.7 | 0.581 | 1 | −21.8 |
| 6 | vs UT Martin | L 16-45 | +8.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Robert Morris · p 0.028
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.578
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 0-31