Gardner-Webb
Big South · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#48
+3.0 pts · likely #23–80
Strength of schedule
31.6
#53 of 130
Strength of victory
13.4
#69
Record SOS
0.423
Opp. 38.8% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
43.0
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Elon | L 24-30 | +10.1 | +1.7 | 0.576 | 1 | +4.5 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 14-45 | +14.4 | −1.7 | 0.599 | 1 | −17.0 |
| 6 | at Robert Morris | W 48-0 | −14.8 | +1.7 | 0.067 | 4 | +20.4 |
| 8 | at Charleston Southern | W 28-14 | −5.6 | +1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.490
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.247
- Wk 13: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.386
- Wk 14: at William & Mary · p 0.599
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LimestoneDII · W 56-21
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 27-31
- Wk 5: at MarshallFBS · L 7-28
- Wk 7: at LibertyFBS · L 20-21