UAlbany
CAA · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#62
+0.9 pts · likely #37–87
Strength of schedule
34.3
#35 of 130
Strength of victory
6.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.494
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 39.5%
Remaining SOS
31.5
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UAlbany. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs New Hampshire | L 23-28 | +7.8 | −1.4 | 0.432 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 3 | at Fordham | L 45-48 | +7.5 | +1.4 | 0.498 | 2 | +5.1 |
| 4 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 45-26 | −12.2 | −1.4 | 0.063 | 4 | +5.3 |
| 6 | at Monmouth | L 31-38 | +5.8 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Stony Brook · p 0.099
- Wk 10: at Elon · p 0.484
- Wk 11: vs Maine · p 0.189
- Wk 12: at Rhode Island · p 0.488
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 10-69