Tennessee State
OVC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#35
+6.2 pts · likely #15–66
Strength of schedule
30.7
#55 of 130
Strength of victory
18.2
#53
Record SOS
0.501
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 60.4%
Remaining SOS
36.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 29-36 | −1.7 | +1.4 | 0.264 | 2 | −6.2 |
| 2 | vs (N) Jackson State | L 3-16 | +17.7 | 0.0 | 0.723 | 1 | +3.8 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 41-17 | −7.0 | −1.4 | 0.119 | 3 | +14.9 |
| 7 | at Tennessee Tech | W 30-14 | −0.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Murray State · p 0.052
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.533
- Wk 11: vs UT Martin · p 0.431
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.459
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 6-49
- Wk 5: vs LaneDII · L 27-28