Stony Brook
CAA · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-6 overall
Strength of record
#88
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#103
−8.2 pts · likely #79–121
Strength of schedule
45.1
#6 of 130
Strength of victory
20.8
1 wins
Record SOS
0.679
Opp. 78.9% · Opp. opp. 46.0%
Remaining SOS
25.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 14-35 | +6.1 | −1.4 | 0.387 | 2 | −15.6 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 7-51 | +11.4 | +1.4 | 0.601 | 1 | −21.1 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | L 10-27 | +12.3 | −1.4 | 0.552 | 1 | −7.4 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | L 14-24 | +8.9 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at UAlbany · p 0.333
- Wk 10: vs Morgan State · p 0.100
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.142
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.454
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MassachusettsFBS · L 3-20