Saint Francis
NEC · 5-1 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#32
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#24
+8.0 pts · likely #11–52
Strength of schedule
21.3
#115 of 130
Strength of victory
12.9
#63
Record SOS
0.362
Opp. 30.0% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
32.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +12.7 | +1.4 | 0.634 | 1 | +3.9 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −9.4 | +1.4 | 0.124 | 3 | +11.8 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −11.3 | +1.4 | 0.100 | 4 | +9.4 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 39-13 | −12.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Sacred Heart · p 0.256
- Wk 10: at Georgetown · p 0.097
- Wk 11: vs Duquesne · p 0.211
- Wk 12: at Merrimack · p 0.383
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.657
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30