North Carolina Central
MEAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 5-2 overall
Strength of record
#44
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#37
+5.9 pts · likely #13–65
Strength of schedule
34.5
#33 of 130
Strength of victory
34.0
#7
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 58.7% · Opp. opp. 48.9%
Remaining SOS
28.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina A&T | W 28-13 | +0.7 | 0.0 | 0.288 | 2 | +15.1 |
| 3 | at New Hampshire | W 45-27 | +10.7 | +1.4 | 0.583 | 1 | +26.9 |
| 5 | at Campbell | L 18-48 | +4.6 | +1.4 | 0.419 | 2 | −20.4 |
| 7 | vs Morgan State | W 59-20 | −5.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Delaware State · p 0.170
- Wk 10: vs Howard · p 0.173
- Wk 11: at Norfolk State · p 0.098
- Wk 12: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.253
- Wk 16: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.727
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 41-0
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 59-14