Merrimack
NEC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#47
+3.7 pts · likely #25–72
Strength of schedule
25.0
#104 of 130
Strength of victory
17.4
#57
Record SOS
0.473
Opp. 47.9% · Opp. opp. 46.3%
Remaining SOS
26.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | L 17-31 | +12.4 | −1.4 | 0.554 | 1 | −3.1 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 21-28 OT | +0.9 | +1.4 | 0.326 | 2 | −0.4 |
| 4 | at Delaware State | W 26-13 | −5.6 | +1.4 | 0.185 | 3 | +8.4 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-23 | −11.6 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Stonehill · p 0.271
- Wk 11: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.083
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.440
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs AssumptionDII · W 45-17