Colgate
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-5 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#83
−3.3 pts · likely #52–108
Strength of schedule
31.3
#51 of 130
Strength of victory
16.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.593
Opp. 65.3% · Opp. opp. 47.3%
Remaining SOS
23.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Maine | W 21-18 | −1.7 | +1.4 | 0.264 | 2 | +1.9 |
| 3 | at Penn | L 14-25 | +10.0 | +1.4 | 0.564 | 1 | −0.4 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 10-35 | +11.7 | −1.4 | 0.535 | 1 | −14.1 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | L 31-34 | −6.0 | −1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: at Bucknell · p 0.111
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.203
- Wk 11: at Lehigh · p 0.131
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.481
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at StanfordFBS · L 10-41
- Wk 7: at ArmyFBS · L 17-42