Brown
Ivy · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#91
−5.5 pts · likely #65–113
Strength of schedule
28.6
#75 of 130
Strength of victory
11.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 45.9%
Remaining SOS
39.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Bryant | W 44-38 OT | −5.5 | −1.4 | 0.141 | 3 | −3.5 |
| 4 | vs Harvard | L 28-35 | +1.3 | −1.4 | 0.269 | 2 | −7.0 |
| 5 | at Rhode Island | L 10-38 | +5.0 | +1.4 | 0.431 | 2 | −20.0 |
| 6 | at Central Connecticut State | W 27-20 | −12.6 | +1.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs Penn · p 0.476
- Wk 10: at Yale · p 0.399
- Wk 11: vs Columbia · p 0.349
- Wk 12: at Dartmouth · p 0.372