Yale
Ivy · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 57% of the time
Power
#46
+3.6 pts · likely #24–79
Strength of schedule
28.2
#78 of 130
Strength of victory
18.7
#45
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 57.6%
Remaining SOS
40.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Holy Cross | L 14-38 | +13.4 | +1.7 | 0.661 | 1 | −7.8 |
| 4 | at Cornell | W 38-14 | −1.6 | +1.7 | 0.274 | 2 | +21.2 |
| 5 | vs Howard | W 34-26 | −5.7 | −1.7 | 0.133 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 6 | vs Dartmouth | W 24-21 | +1.3 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Penn · p 0.549
- Wk 9: at Columbia · p 0.442
- Wk 10: vs Brown · p 0.146
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.489
- Wk 12: at Harvard · p 0.421