Tennessee State
OVC · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#38
+4.7 pts · likely #17–77
Strength of schedule
34.5
#35 of 130
Strength of victory
19.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 63.8%
Remaining SOS
29.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 29-36 | −2.0 | +1.7 | 0.264 | 2 | −6.1 |
| 2 | vs (N) Jackson State | L 3-16 | +17.8 | 0.0 | 0.726 | 1 | +3.9 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 41-17 | −8.1 | −1.7 | 0.101 | 3 | +13.0 |
| 7 | at Tennessee Tech | W 30-14 | −0.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.134
- Wk 9: at Murray State · p 0.055
- Wk 10: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.466
- Wk 11: vs UT Martin · p 0.419
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.417
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 6-49
- Wk 5: vs LaneDII · L 27-28