North Carolina A&T
Big South · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#72
−1.8 pts · likely #41–106
Strength of schedule
35.4
#31 of 130
Strength of victory
22.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 55.4% · Opp. opp. 47.1%
Remaining SOS
21.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina A&T. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 13-28 | +6.2 | 0.0 | 0.426 | 2 | −8.1 |
| 2 | at North Dakota State | L 3-43 | +8.8 | +1.7 | 0.542 | 1 | −22.5 |
| 4 | vs South Carolina State | W 41-27 | +2.6 | −1.7 | 0.291 | 2 | +11.1 |
| 5 | vs Bryant | W 24-13 | −4.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Robert Morris · p 0.059
- Wk 9: vs Campbell · p 0.437
- Wk 10: vs Norfolk State · p 0.076
- Wk 11: vs Charleston Southern · p 0.145
- Wk 12: at Gardner-Webb · p 0.372
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at DukeFBS · L 20-49
- Wk 7: vs Edward WatersDII · W 45-7