East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-4 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#52
+2.8 pts · likely #25–80
Strength of schedule
34.1
#40 of 130
Strength of victory
12.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 41.6%
Remaining SOS
27.5
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at The Citadel | L 17-20 | −5.5 | +1.7 | 0.192 | 3 | −5.8 |
| 3 | vs Furman | L 14-27 | +2.3 | −1.7 | 0.284 | 2 | −10.5 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 45-3 | −12.3 | +1.7 | 0.092 | 4 | +21.6 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | L 16-24 | +12.0 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Samford · p 0.404
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.172
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.249
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Mars HillDII · W 44-7