Alabama State
SWAC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-3 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 86% of the time
Power
#64
+0.2 pts · likely #35–94
Strength of schedule
31.0
#58 of 130
Strength of victory
21.0
#39
Record SOS
0.470
Opp. 41.3% · Opp. opp. 58.4%
Remaining SOS
15.4
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Howard | W 23-13 | −4.1 | 0.0 | 0.187 | 3 | +5.1 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 15-25 | −0.2 | −1.7 | 0.230 | 3 | −10.9 |
| 5 | at Texas Southern | W 16-13 | +3.5 | +1.7 | 0.399 | 2 | +6.7 |
| 6 | vs Jackson State | L 12-26 | +18.1 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.153
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.126
- Wk 11: vs Florida A&M · p 0.249
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.088
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 21-13
- Wk 2: at UCLAFBS · L 7-45