Stony Brook
CAA · 0-4 vs FCS · 0-5 overall
Strength of record
#109
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−8.3 pts · likely #73–124
Strength of schedule
44.7
#9 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.648
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 52.9%
Remaining SOS
30.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 14-35 | +4.0 | −1.9 | 0.320 | 2 | −17.3 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 7-51 | +7.9 | +1.9 | 0.523 | 1 | −22.8 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | L 10-27 | +11.0 | −1.9 | 0.502 | 1 | −8.8 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | L 14-24 | +4.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Fordham · p 0.468
- Wk 8: vs Maine · p 0.148
- Wk 9: at UAlbany · p 0.360
- Wk 10: vs Morgan State · p 0.183
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.152
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.532
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MassachusettsFBS · L 3-20