Southern
SWAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#47
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#22
+8.2 pts · likely #6–60
Strength of schedule
26.5
#82 of 130
Strength of victory
30.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.376
Opp. 31.1% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
37.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Texas Southern | L 0-24 | −3.8 | 0.0 | 0.192 | 3 | −21.8 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 59-3 | −4.6 | −1.9 | 0.147 | 3 | +24.7 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-13 | +5.4 | +1.9 | 0.455 | 2 | +34.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Alcorn State · p 0.295
- Wk 9: at Jackson State · p 0.726
- Wk 10: at Florida A&M · p 0.327
- Wk 11: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.043
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.132
- Wk 14: at Jackson State · p 0.726
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Florida Memorial UniversityNon-NCAA · W 86-0
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 17-65