North Carolina Central
MEAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 68% of the time
Power
#55
+1.9 pts · likely #20–91
Strength of schedule
37.8
#23 of 130
Strength of victory
38.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.689
Opp. 77.8% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
27.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina A&T | W 28-13 | −0.9 | 0.0 | 0.252 | 2 | +12.6 |
| 3 | at New Hampshire | W 45-27 | +8.0 | +1.9 | 0.526 | 1 | +23.4 |
| 5 | at Campbell | L 18-48 | +1.7 | +1.9 | 0.358 | 2 | −21.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Morgan State · p 0.183
- Wk 8: at South Carolina State · p 0.290
- Wk 9: at Delaware State · p 0.157
- Wk 10: vs Howard · p 0.162
- Wk 11: at Norfolk State · p 0.159
- Wk 12: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.279
- Wk 16: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.682
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 41-0
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 59-14