Merrimack
NEC · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#58
+1.2 pts · likely #30–90
Strength of schedule
30.6
#61 of 130
Strength of victory
19.1
#36
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 43.3% · Opp. opp. 52.2%
Remaining SOS
21.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | L 17-31 | +14.1 | −1.9 | 0.586 | 1 | −1.8 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 21-28 OT | +2.2 | +1.9 | 0.370 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 4 | at Delaware State | W 26-13 | −6.0 | +1.9 | 0.186 | 3 | +7.6 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-23 | −4.7 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Wagner · p 0.105
- Wk 8: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.182
- Wk 9: at Stonehill · p 0.298
- Wk 11: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.106
- Wk 12: vs Saint Francis · p 0.402
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs AssumptionDII · W 45-17