Gardner-Webb
Big South · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#68
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#51
+2.8 pts · likely #19–87
Strength of schedule
43.7
#10 of 130
Strength of victory
10.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 37.6%
Remaining SOS
34.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Elon | L 24-30 | +9.9 | +1.9 | 0.576 | 1 | +4.7 |
| 4 | vs Mercer | L 14-45 | +15.9 | −1.9 | 0.634 | 1 | −14.1 |
| 6 | at Robert Morris | W 48-0 | −11.7 | +1.9 | 0.101 | 3 | +21.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at Charleston Southern · p 0.206
- Wk 9: vs Bryant · p 0.146
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.500
- Wk 12: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.174
- Wk 13: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.431
- Wk 14: at William & Mary · p 0.601
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LimestoneDII · W 56-21
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 27-31
- Wk 5: at MarshallFBS · L 7-28