East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-3 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#40
+3.9 pts · likely #19–79
Strength of schedule
26.2
#84 of 130
Strength of victory
14.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.392
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 37.5%
Remaining SOS
40.1
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at The Citadel | L 17-20 | −2.9 | +1.9 | 0.249 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 3 | vs Furman | L 14-27 | +2.2 | −1.9 | 0.278 | 2 | −10.0 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 45-3 | −11.9 | +1.9 | 0.099 | 4 | +21.6 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | L 16-24 | +10.9 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.791
- Wk 8: vs Samford · p 0.412
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.146
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.256
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Mars HillDII · W 44-7