Colgate
Patriot · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#90
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#86
−4.0 pts · likely #49–114
Strength of schedule
35.6
#31 of 130
Strength of victory
23.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.631
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
19.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Maine | W 21-18 | −3.3 | +1.9 | 0.239 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | at Penn | L 14-25 | +7.3 | +1.9 | 0.505 | 1 | −2.2 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 10-35 | +13.0 | −1.9 | 0.556 | 1 | −12.8 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | L 31-34 | −6.2 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.073
- Wk 9: at Bucknell · p 0.125
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.153
- Wk 11: at Lehigh · p 0.146
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.468
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at StanfordFBS · L 10-41