Brown
Ivy · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#98
−5.3 pts · likely #58–117
Strength of schedule
23.0
#103 of 130
Strength of victory
13.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.442
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 49.4%
Remaining SOS
39.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Brown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Bryant | W 44-38 OT | −4.2 | −1.9 | 0.152 | 3 | −3.2 |
| 4 | vs Harvard | L 28-35 | +1.9 | −1.9 | 0.272 | 2 | −6.7 |
| 5 | at Rhode Island | L 10-38 | +2.7 | +1.9 | 0.383 | 2 | −20.5 |
| 6 | at Central Connecticut State | W 27-20 | −10.7 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Princeton · p 0.608
- Wk 8: vs Cornell · p 0.142
- Wk 9: vs Penn · p 0.393
- Wk 10: at Yale · p 0.399
- Wk 11: vs Columbia · p 0.446
- Wk 12: at Dartmouth · p 0.392