The Citadel
Southern · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#108
−4.0 pts · likely #44–121
Strength of schedule
23.8
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
20.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.167
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
33.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Campbell | L 10-29 | −3.2 | +3.4 | 0.275 | 2 | −14.9 |
| 2 | vs East Tennessee State | W 20-17 | −0.0 | −3.4 | 0.200 | 3 | −1.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 3: at Mercer · p 0.527
- Wk 6: vs Furman · p 0.200
- Wk 7: at Wofford · p 0.137
- Wk 8: at Western Carolina · p 0.467
- Wk 9: vs Samford · p 0.233
- Wk 10: vs Chattanooga · p 0.397
- Wk 12: at VMI · p 0.392