Saint Francis
NEC · 9-2 vs FCS · 9-3 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 46% of the time
Power
#22
+9.7 pts · likely #9–39
Strength of schedule
24.3
#110 of 130
Strength of victory
15.8
#78
Record SOS
0.437
Opp. 41.9% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +13.6 | +2.0 | 0.675 | 1 | +4.4 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −18.2 | +2.0 | 0.044 | 4 | +5.7 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −15.3 | +2.0 | 0.065 | 4 | +7.7 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 39-13 | −7.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30