North Carolina Central
MEAC · 7-2 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 58% of the time
Power
#28
+7.8 pts · likely #12–49
Strength of schedule
25.6
#101 of 130
Strength of victory
25.1
#38
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 45.6% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
74.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina A&T | W 28-13 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 0.301 | 2 | +16.0 |
| 3 | at New Hampshire | W 45-27 | +9.7 | +2.0 | 0.574 | 1 | +26.9 |
| 5 | at Campbell | L 18-48 | +3.3 | +2.0 | 0.403 | 2 | −22.4 |
| 7 | vs Morgan State | W 59-20 | −3.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 16: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.748
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 41-0
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 59-14