Murray State
OVC · 2-7 vs FCS · 2-9 overall
Strength of record
#104
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−10.8 pts · likely #93–126
Strength of schedule
35.1
#40 of 130
Strength of victory
13.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.527
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 44.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | L 3-34 | +14.2 | −2.0 | 0.585 | 1 | −19.6 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 21-35 | −8.9 | −2.0 | 0.088 | 4 | −23.2 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 14-48 | +10.4 | +2.0 | 0.594 | 1 | −21.7 |
| 6 | vs UT Martin | L 16-45 | +4.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 0-31