Mercer
Southern · 7-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 59% of the time
Power
#10
+12.5 pts · likely #4–28
Strength of schedule
32.3
#61 of 130
Strength of victory
21.9
#47
Record SOS
0.499
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −15.5 | −2.0 | 0.036 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −4.6 | −2.0 | 0.144 | 3 | +10.3 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +7.5 | +2.0 | 0.514 | 1 | +37.6 |
| 5 | at Wofford | W 42-7 | −4.0 | +2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42