Towson
CAA · 6-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#53
+1.4 pts · likely #36–82
Strength of schedule
35.5
#38 of 130
Strength of victory
21.6
#48
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 53.0% · Opp. opp. 53.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −11.4 | +2.0 | 0.106 | 3 | −6.1 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −5.1 | −2.0 | 0.137 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +6.9 | −2.0 | 0.392 | 2 | −17.7 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +12.8 | +2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65