Northwestern State
Southland · 4-6 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#95
−5.8 pts · likely #68–114
Strength of schedule
32.6
#61 of 130
Strength of victory
14.5
#84
Record SOS
0.462
Opp. 45.0% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +10.5 | +2.0 | 0.595 | 1 | −23.6 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −7.1 | 0.0 | 0.137 | 3 | −30.0 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −11.3 | −2.0 | 0.065 | 4 | −4.4 |
| 5 | vs Nicholls State | W 36-33 | −9.4 | −2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64