Merrimack
NEC · 7-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#62
+0.0 pts · likely #41–89
Strength of schedule
24.9
#108 of 130
Strength of victory
14.5
#83
Record SOS
0.474
Opp. 48.4% · Opp. opp. 45.4%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
5-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Merrimack. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | L 17-31 | +14.0 | −2.0 | 0.582 | 1 | −2.7 |
| 3 | at Harvard | L 21-28 OT | +5.5 | +2.0 | 0.460 | 2 | +4.1 |
| 4 | at Delaware State | W 26-13 | −9.6 | +2.0 | 0.130 | 3 | +5.2 |
| 5 | vs Long Island | W 24-23 | −7.6 | −2.0 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs AssumptionDII · W 45-17