Alabama State
SWAC · 5-4 vs FCS · 6-5 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#68
−0.6 pts · likely #42–92
Strength of schedule
26.5
#94 of 130
Strength of victory
21.6
#50
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 48.8% · Opp. opp. 49.2%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Howard | W 23-13 | +2.0 | 0.0 | 0.318 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 15-25 | +0.6 | −1.9 | 0.242 | 3 | −10.9 |
| 5 | at Texas Southern | W 16-13 | +3.0 | +1.9 | 0.390 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 6 | vs Jackson State | L 12-26 | +19.0 | −1.9 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 21-13
- Wk 2: at UCLAFBS · L 7-45