Tennessee State
OVC · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-7 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#76
−2.4 pts · likely #51–103
Strength of schedule
29.8
#68 of 130
Strength of victory
19.9
#59
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 47.5% · Opp. opp. 50.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Eastern Washington | L 29-36 | −4.9 | +1.8 | 0.205 | 3 | −10.4 |
| 2 | vs (N) Jackson State | L 3-16 | +19.6 | 0.0 | 0.765 | 1 | +4.7 |
| 6 | vs Bethune-Cookman | W 41-17 | −8.1 | −1.8 | 0.100 | 4 | +13.5 |
| 7 | at Tennessee Tech | W 30-14 | −0.6 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Middle TennesseeFBS · L 6-49
- Wk 5: vs LaneDII · L 27-28