Southern
SWAC · 4-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#48
+1.9 pts · likely #30–82
Strength of schedule
30.7
#65 of 130
Strength of victory
18.6
#63
Record SOS
0.511
Opp. 52.6% · Opp. opp. 48.1%
Remaining SOS
48.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Texas Southern | L 0-24 | −0.7 | 0.0 | 0.255 | 2 | −21.7 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 59-3 | −13.5 | −1.8 | 0.050 | 4 | +18.5 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-13 | +4.2 | +1.8 | 0.419 | 2 | +34.6 |
| 7 | vs Alcorn State | W 21-17 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.191
- Wk 14: at Jackson State · p 0.786
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Florida Memorial UniversityNon-NCAA · W 86-0
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 17-65
- Wk 8: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 51-7