Saint Francis
NEC · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#8
+13.7 pts · likely #3–27
Strength of schedule
21.1
#121 of 130
Strength of victory
16.3
#74
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 41.1% · Opp. opp. 47.0%
Remaining SOS
63.8
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
5-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +12.4 | +1.8 | 0.638 | 1 | +3.3 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −17.7 | +1.8 | 0.046 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −15.1 | +1.8 | 0.065 | 4 | +7.1 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 39-13 | −7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.638
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30