North Dakota State
MVFC · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#10
+13.5 pts · likely #3–27
Strength of schedule
29.9
#67 of 130
Strength of victory
26.2
#30
Record SOS
0.536
Opp. 53.1% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
62.2
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −8.5 | −1.8 | 0.096 | 4 | +26.8 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +2.8 | −1.8 | 0.294 | 2 | +34.4 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | −2.9 | +1.8 | 0.246 | 3 | +14.6 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-14 | +5.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Montana · p 0.540
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.542
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.689
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.717
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31